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Up
BoneOhio<$100DownDownDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 50%
Total Value
$96.65
Combined PnL
-$502.77
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares550
Combined PnL-$512.55
Down4 traders
Total Value$96.65
Total Shares97
Combined PnL+$9.78
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.4¢ | $507.35 | — | -$493.38 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $35.07 | $35.46 | +$0.39 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $41.6 | $45 | +$3.4 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 77.1¢ | $7.85 | $10.19 | +$2.34 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 31.7¢ | $9.12 | — | -$9.12 | 51% 1610-1559 (3169) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $5.2 | — | -$5.2 | 51% 1455-1384 (2839) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 39¢ | $2.34 | $6 | +$3.66 | 66% 1988-1002 (2990) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 48.5¢ | $4.85 | — | -$4.85 | 37% 778-1309 (2087) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$507.35
Value
—
PnL
-$493.38
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$35.07
Value
$35.46
PnL
+$0.39
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$41.6
Value
$45
PnL
+$3.4
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$7.85
Value
$10.19
PnL
+$2.34
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$9.12
Value
—
PnL
-$9.12
Record
51%
1610-1559 (3169)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.2
Record
51%
1455-1384 (2839)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$2.34
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.66
Record
66%
1988-1002 (2990)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
—
PnL
-$4.85
Record
37%
778-1309 (2087)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xaf0a2d64...300538
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794470700