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Down
BoneOhio<$100UpUpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$67.99
Combined PnL
-$494.82
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares521
Combined PnL-$504.14
Up3 traders
Total Value$67.99
Total Shares68
Combined PnL+$9.32
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.9¢ | $510.96 | — | -$499.84 | 57% 2288-1755 (4043) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $35.58 | $35.94 | +$0.36 | 74% 910-315 (1225) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 66¢ | $17.15 | $26 | +$8.85 | 50% 1050-1060 (2110) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 46% 1117-1330 (2447) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98.2¢ | $5.94 | $6.05 | +$0.11 | 62% 2279-1406 (3685) |
PB PBot-5CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 48% 658-722 (1380) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$510.96
Value
—
PnL
-$499.84
Record
57%
2288-1755 (4043)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$35.58
Value
$35.94
PnL
+$0.36
Record
74%
910-315 (1225)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$17.15
Value
$26
PnL
+$8.85
Record
50%
1050-1060 (2110)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
46%
1117-1330 (2447)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.05
PnL
+$0.11
Record
62%
2279-1406 (3685)
PB
PBot-5CTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
48%
658-722 (1380)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x243fd5b2...a074c6
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794470400