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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Down 100%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$596.19

Combined PnL

$23.48

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 7 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders

Total Value$106.19

Total Shares106

Combined PnL+$23.48

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 49.8¢	$506.3	$490	+$1.3	57% 2288-1755 (4043)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.8¢	$247.34	—	-$248.3
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245	$490	+$249.6
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 74.2¢	$46.21	$62.3	+$16.1	50% 1050-1060 (2110)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 65¢	$12.4	$15.23	+$2.83	46% 1117-1330 (2447)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$6.05	$5	-$1.05	47% 1308-1484 (2792)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 73¢	$5.06	$6.93	+$1.87	44% 1135-1448 (2583)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 75¢	$5	$6.66	+$1.67	37% 778-1309 (2087)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 73¢	$3.7	$5.07	+$1.37	66% 1988-1002 (2990)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 86¢	$4.3	$5	+$0.7	62% 2279-1406 (3685)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$506.3

Value

$490

PnL

+$1.3

Record

57%

2288-1755 (4043)

Both legs:

Up$247.3449.8¢-$248.3

Down$24550¢+$249.6

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$46.21

Value

$62.3

PnL

+$16.1

Record

50%

1050-1060 (2110)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$12.4

Value

$15.23

PnL

+$2.83

Record

46%

1117-1330 (2447)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$6.05

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.05

Record

47%

1308-1484 (2792)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$5.06

Value

$6.93

PnL

+$1.87

Record

44%

1135-1448 (2583)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$5

Value

$6.66

PnL

+$1.67

Record

37%

778-1309 (2087)

Invested

$3.7

Value

$5.07

PnL

+$1.37

Record

66%

1988-1002 (2990)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$4.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.7

Record

62%

2279-1406 (3685)

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 7 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x76b59c16...0dd271

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794469200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

uninformedfloww

Down — $62.3

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $15.23

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $6.93

antsaslyku

Down — $6.66

asdaefef

Down — $5.07

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5

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