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Down
BoneOhio<$100UpUpUpUpUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Up 83%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$566.3
Combined PnL
$0.28
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$76.29
Total Shares76
Combined PnL+$0.33
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$0.05
Up — 83%Down — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $490.01 | -$0.3 | 57% 2241-1691 (3932) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $245 | $490.01 | +$249.7 | |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $31.68 | $32 | +$0.32 | 74% 880-306 (1186) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $19.85 | $19 | -$0.85 | 47% 1270-1451 (2721) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98.5¢ | $9.85 | $10 | +$0.15 | 67% 1947-979 (2926) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $8.64 | $9.29 | +$0.65 | 62% 2224-1373 (3597) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 62% 1338-834 (2172) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 757-1285 (2042) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$500
Value
$490.01
PnL
-$0.3
Record
57%
2241-1691 (3932)
Both legs:
Down$25050¢-$250
Up$24550¢+$249.7
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$31.68
Value
$32
PnL
+$0.32
Record
74%
880-306 (1186)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$19.85
Value
$19
PnL
-$0.85
Record
47%
1270-1451 (2721)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$9.85
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.15
Record
67%
1947-979 (2926)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$8.64
Value
$9.29
PnL
+$0.65
Record
62%
2224-1373 (3597)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
62%
1338-834 (2172)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
757-1285 (2042)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6048fb18...4c3c3c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794464400