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UpDownDown
ohioism<$100DownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 50%
Total Value
$101.48
Combined PnL
-$472.14
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares532
Combined PnL-$499.77
Down3 traders
Total Value$101.48
Total Shares101
Combined PnL+$27.63
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 48.6¢ | $513.62 | — | -$486.25 | 57% 2241-1691 (3932) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 71.3¢ | $58 | $81.31 | +$23.31 | 50% 1015-1025 (2040) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $12.88 | $11.17 | -$1.71 | 62% 2224-1373 (3597) |
ohioism<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $2.97 | $9 | +$6.03 | 48% 1113-1213 (2326) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 41.7¢ | $4.85 | — | -$4.85 | 37% 757-1285 (2042) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $8.67 | — | -$8.67 | 51% 1422-1352 (2774) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$513.62
Value
—
PnL
-$486.25
Record
57%
2241-1691 (3932)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$58
Value
$81.31
PnL
+$23.31
Record
50%
1015-1025 (2040)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.88
Value
$11.17
PnL
-$1.71
Record
62%
2224-1373 (3597)
ohioism<$100Invested
$2.97
Value
$9
PnL
+$6.03
Record
48%
1113-1213 (2326)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
—
PnL
-$4.85
Record
37%
757-1285 (2042)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.67
Value
—
PnL
-$8.67
Record
51%
1422-1352 (2774)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x32887f31...7f16cf
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794464100