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UpDownUp
ohioismCTR<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$24.33
Combined PnL
-$501.71
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares526
Combined PnL-$504.14
Down2 traders
Total Value$24.33
Total Shares24
Combined PnL+$2.43
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $502.95 | — | -$500.65 | 57% 2190-1623 (3813) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96.6¢ | $19.18 | $17 | -$2.18 | 62% 2140-1336 (3476) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.1¢ | $1.89 | — | -$1.89 | 46% 1225-1418 (2643) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 48% 1088-1178 (2266) |
F8 0xf8af...54c6<$100 | Downavg 37.1¢ | $2.72 | $7.33 | +$4.61 | 51% 1380-1304 (2684) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$502.95
Value
—
PnL
-$500.65
Record
57%
2190-1623 (3813)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$19.18
Value
$17
PnL
-$2.18
Record
62%
2140-1336 (3476)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.89
Value
—
PnL
-$1.89
Record
46%
1225-1418 (2643)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
48%
1088-1178 (2266)
F8
0xf8af...54c6<$100Invested
$2.72
Value
$7.33
PnL
+$4.61
Record
51%
1380-1304 (2684)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe34b34cb...a77874
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794456600