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DownUpDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
4
Up 50%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$499.38
Combined PnL
$2.76
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 4 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$10.2
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$8.15
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares6
Combined PnL-$5.39
Up — 50%Down — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 47.9¢ | $518.49 | $489.18 | +$15.18 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 47.9¢ | $246.41 | — | -$242.54 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.3¢ | $241.15 | $489.18 | +$257.71 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $5.05 | $5.2 | +$5 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $5.36 | — | -$5.36 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $1.85 | $5 | +$3.15 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.03 | — | -$0.03 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100Invested
$518.49
Value
$489.18
PnL
+$15.18
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
Both legs:
Down$246.4147.9¢-$242.54
Up$241.1549.3¢+$257.71
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$5.05
Value
$5.2
PnL
+$5
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$5.36
Value
—
PnL
-$5.36
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.15
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.03
Value
—
PnL
-$0.03
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x55be8c79...076205
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794453900