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UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDownDownDownUp
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Up 63%
Total Value
$18.05
Combined PnL
-$515.36
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares631
Combined PnL-$515.69
Down3 traders
Total Value$18.05
Total Shares18
Combined PnL+$0.34
Up — 63%Down — 37%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$498.04 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8¢ | $13.17 | — | -$13.17 | 49% 786-802 (1588) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $3.32 | — | -$3.32 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $7.04 | $7.05 | +$0.01 | 47% 629-703 (1332) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $5.82 | $6 | +$0.18 | — |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 61% 1255-809 (2064) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $0.65 | — | -$0.65 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 18¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$498.04
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$13.17
Value
—
PnL
-$13.17
Record
49%
786-802 (1588)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.32
Value
—
PnL
-$3.32
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
0X
0x50f7<$100Invested
$7.04
Value
$7.05
PnL
+$0.01
Record
47%
629-703 (1332)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$5.82
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.18
Record
—
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
61%
1255-809 (2064)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$0.65
Value
—
PnL
-$0.65
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.52
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2b1d80cd...4d0659
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794453600