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UpUpUp
ohioismCTR<$100DownDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 63%
Total Value
$23.06
Combined PnL
-$9.46
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$23.06
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$1.71
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares40
Combined PnL-$7.75
Up — 38%Down — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 95.8¢ | $13.41 | $13 | +$0.5 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $7.03 | $5.06 | -$1.97 | — |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $5.24 | $5 | -$0.24 | 61% 1255-809 (2064) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 49% 1034-1095 (2129) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 43% 227-296 (523) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 23¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 66% 1796-933 (2729) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$13.41
Value
$13
PnL
+$0.5
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
DV
dvasdkasodk<$100Invested
$7.03
Value
$5.06
PnL
-$1.97
Record
—
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$5.24
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.24
Record
61%
1255-809 (2064)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
49%
1034-1095 (2129)
0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
43%
227-296 (523)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
66%
1796-933 (2729)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1514453d...14c09e
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794453300