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DownUpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdani<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$23.1
Combined PnL
-$3.17
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$23.1
Total Shares23
Combined PnL+$6.54
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares35
Combined PnL-$9.71
Down — 33%Up — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79.5¢ | $12 | $15.1 | +$3.1 | 62% 2042-1276 (3318) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 38.1¢ | $4.91 | — | -$4.91 | 38% 718-1188 (1906) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 46% 569-681 (1250) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 44% 1012-1265 (2277) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 57¢ | $4.56 | $8 | +$3.44 | 52% 725-659 (1384) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 58.3¢ | $7 | — | -$0.41 | 58% 2058-1520 (3578) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12
Value
$15.1
PnL
+$3.1
Record
62%
2042-1276 (3318)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$4.91
Value
—
PnL
-$4.91
Record
38%
718-1188 (1906)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
46%
569-681 (1250)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
44%
1012-1265 (2277)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$4.56
Value
$8
PnL
+$3.44
Record
52%
725-659 (1384)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$7
Value
—
PnL
-$0.41
Record
58%
2058-1520 (3578)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x88dd9b7d...c4649d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794452400