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Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$13.05
Combined PnL
-$5.19
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$13.05
Total Shares13
Combined PnL+$0.84
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$6.04
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 96.4¢ | $7.76 | $8.05 | +$0.29 | 66% 1776-921 (2697) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 47% 619-701 (1320) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $1.64 | — | -$1.64 | 50% 1317-1303 (2620) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.76
Value
$8.05
PnL
+$0.29
Record
66%
1776-921 (2697)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
47%
619-701 (1320)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$1.64
Value
—
PnL
-$1.64
Record
50%
1317-1303 (2620)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb2671616...37a113
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794449100