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UpDownUpDownUpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$27
Combined PnL
-$1.62
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$27
Total Shares27
Combined PnL+$9.71
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares48
Combined PnL-$11.33
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 50.9¢ | $12.81 | $17 | +$4.19 | 62% 2020-1262 (3282) |
5D 0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100 | Downavg 12.4¢ | $5.41 | — | -$5.41 | — |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $2.68 | $5 | +$2.32 | 47% 593-667 (1260) |
F8 0xf8af...54c6CTR<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | — |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 36¢ | $1.8 | $5 | +$3.2 | 66% 1776-921 (2697) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 12¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 38% 709-1165 (1874) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.02 | — | -$1.02 | 44% 990-1249 (2239) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.81
Value
$17
PnL
+$4.19
Record
62%
2020-1262 (3282)
5D
0x5d4a...55d3CTR<$100Invested
$5.41
Value
—
PnL
-$5.41
Record
—
PB
PBot-5<$100Invested
$2.68
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.32
Record
47%
593-667 (1260)
F8
0xf8af...54c6CTR<$100Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
—
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$1.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.2
Record
66%
1776-921 (2697)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
38%
709-1165 (1874)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.02
Value
—
PnL
-$1.02
Record
44%
990-1249 (2239)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x334549c3...a7ebd4
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794448500