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DownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100UpDown
ohioismCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$94.77
Combined PnL
-$1.96
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$94.77
Total Shares95
Combined PnL+$55.48
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares97
Combined PnL-$57.44
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 39.9¢ | $35.74 | $89.66 | +$53.92 | 49% 706-726 (1432) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 51.4¢ | $17.58 | — | -$17.58 | 50% 1263-1254 (2517) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 50.5¢ | $27.66 | — | -$27.66 | 44% 945-1197 (2142) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 45.3¢ | $6.85 | $5.11 | +$1.56 | 58% 1948-1427 (3375) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.9¢ | $12.2 | — | -$12.2 | 48% 962-1040 (2002) |
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$35.74
Value
$89.66
PnL
+$53.92
Record
49%
706-726 (1432)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$17.58
Value
—
PnL
-$17.58
Record
50%
1263-1254 (2517)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$27.66
Value
—
PnL
-$27.66
Record
44%
945-1197 (2142)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$6.85
Value
$5.11
PnL
+$1.56
Record
58%
1948-1427 (3375)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$12.2
Value
—
PnL
-$12.2
Record
48%
962-1040 (2002)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xa6fee6d7...f555ef
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794437100