Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 63%
$15.85
-$65.56
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 45.4¢ | $52.07 | — | -$52.07 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 92.1¢ | $12.52 | — | -$11.34 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 48% 838-904 (1742) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.56 | $5.56 | +$5 | 45% 526-642 (1168) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 60% 1062-712 (1774) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $1.15 | $5.23 | +$4.08 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 10.8¢ | $0.46 | $4.22 | +$3.77 | 45% 534-658 (1192) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.41 | $0.84 | +$0.43 | 48% 1310-1415 (2725) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.7¢ | $5.27 | — | -$5.27 | 38% 603-967 (1570) |
Invested
$52.07
Value
—
PnL
-$52.07
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
Invested
$12.52
Value
—
PnL
-$11.34
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
48%
838-904 (1742)
Invested
$0.56
Value
$5.56
PnL
+$5
Record
45%
526-642 (1168)
Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
60%
1062-712 (1774)
Invested
$1.15
Value
$5.23
PnL
+$4.08
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
Invested
$0.46
Value
$4.22
PnL
+$3.77
Record
45%
534-658 (1192)
Invested
$0.41
Value
$0.84
PnL
+$0.43
Record
48%
1310-1415 (2725)
Invested
$5.27
Value
—
PnL
-$5.27
Record
38%
603-967 (1570)