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UpDownUpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$19
Combined PnL
-$31.12
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares120
Combined PnL-$30.01
Down1 trader
Total Value$19
Total Shares19
Combined PnL-$1.11
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.9¢ | $19.36 | — | -$19.36 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 87.9¢ | $20.11 | $19 | -$1.11 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.7¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $2.2 | — | -$0.79 | 58% 1663-1228 (2891) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.9¢ | $8.42 | — | -$8.42 | 44% 821-1039 (1860) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$19.36
Value
—
PnL
-$19.36
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$20.11
Value
$19
PnL
-$1.11
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.79
Record
58%
1663-1228 (2891)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$8.42
Value
—
PnL
-$8.42
Record
44%
821-1039 (1860)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8d97c653...0907d8
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794406800