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DownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$51.6
Combined PnL
-$4.73
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$51.6
Total Shares52
Combined PnL+$0.44
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares11
Combined PnL-$5.17
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $24.09 | $25.6 | +$1.51 | 51% 1054-1033 (2087) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91.7¢ | $21.76 | $21 | -$0.76 | 62% 1746-1091 (2837) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $5.31 | $5 | -$0.31 | 65% 1531-815 (2346) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 48% 1310-1415 (2725) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 21¢ | $0.27 | — | -$0.27 | 58% 1663-1228 (2891) |
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$24.09
Value
$25.6
PnL
+$1.51
Record
51%
1054-1033 (2087)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$21.76
Value
$21
PnL
-$0.76
Record
62%
1746-1091 (2837)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$5.31
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.31
Record
65%
1531-815 (2346)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
48%
1310-1415 (2725)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$0.27
Value
—
PnL
-$0.27
Record
58%
1663-1228 (2891)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xd9f448e9...f2d690
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794406200