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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
Total Value
$22
Combined PnL
-$10.43
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares209
Combined PnL-$13.13
Down1 trader
Total Value$22
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$2.7
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.88 | — | -$1.88 | 46% 487-576 (1063) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $19.3 | $22 | +$2.7 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 63.7¢ | $6.6 | — | -$6.6 | 39% 586-930 (1516) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 49¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 61% 1683-1060 (2743) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 58% 1605-1176 (2781) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.88
Value
—
PnL
-$1.88
Record
46%
487-576 (1063)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$19.3
Value
$22
PnL
+$2.7
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$6.6
Value
—
PnL
-$6.6
Record
39%
586-930 (1516)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
61%
1683-1060 (2743)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
58%
1605-1176 (2781)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x96b7b3f2...3f872a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794399600