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UpUpUpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$35.15
Combined PnL
-$4.18
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$35.15
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$3.64
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares92
Combined PnL-$7.82
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74¢ | $11.3 | $13 | +$1.7 | 65% 1481-789 (2270) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $7.59 | $11.15 | +$3.56 | 61% 1683-1060 (2743) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 94.7¢ | $12.62 | $11 | -$1.62 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 58% 1605-1176 (2781) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.2¢ | $3.79 | — | -$3.79 | 44% 798-998 (1796) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 46% 487-576 (1063) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 8¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 48% 807-866 (1673) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$11.3
Value
$13
PnL
+$1.7
Record
65%
1481-789 (2270)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$7.59
Value
$11.15
PnL
+$3.56
Record
61%
1683-1060 (2743)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$12.62
Value
$11
PnL
-$1.62
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
58%
1605-1176 (2781)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.79
Value
—
PnL
-$3.79
Record
44%
798-998 (1796)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
46%
487-576 (1063)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
48%
807-866 (1673)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x70bd2a12...ed3b6d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794399300