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DownUpDownUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$40.86
Combined PnL
-$1.83
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$40.86
Total Shares41
Combined PnL+$0.82
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares183
Combined PnL-$2.65
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $35.09 | $35.81 | +$0.72 | 98% 1544-32 (1576) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 39% 586-930 (1516) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $4.95 | $5.05 | +$0.1 | 65% 1481-789 (2270) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $0.32 | — | -$0.32 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1.3¢ | $2.27 | — | -$2.27 | 44% 798-998 (1796) |
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$35.09
Value
$35.81
PnL
+$0.72
Record
98%
1544-32 (1576)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
39%
586-930 (1516)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.1
Record
65%
1481-789 (2270)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0.32
Value
—
PnL
-$0.32
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.27
Value
—
PnL
-$2.27
Record
44%
798-998 (1796)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x26722996...7d5247
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794398700