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UpUpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownDownDown
ohioismCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Down 57%
Total Value
$32.25
Combined PnL
-$13.66
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$32.25
Total Shares32
Combined PnL+$3.87
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$17.53
Up — 38%Down — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 49.5¢ | $15.04 | $18.25 | +$3.73 | 61% 1683-1060 (2743) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 65% 1481-789 (2270) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 60% 1032-684 (1716) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 66¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 44% 798-998 (1796) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $1.56 | — | -$1.56 | 58% 1605-1176 (2781) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 31.6¢ | $10.13 | — | -$10.13 | 39% 586-930 (1516) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0 | — | -$0.04 | 51% 1009-957 (1966) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 48% 807-866 (1673) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$15.04
Value
$18.25
PnL
+$3.73
Record
61%
1683-1060 (2743)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
65%
1481-789 (2270)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
60%
1032-684 (1716)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
44%
798-998 (1796)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$1.56
Value
—
PnL
-$1.56
Record
58%
1605-1176 (2781)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$10.13
Value
—
PnL
-$10.13
Record
39%
586-930 (1516)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
51%
1009-957 (1966)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
48%
807-866 (1673)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x725e1420...44c669
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794396900