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Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
BoneOhio<$100UpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$29.25
Combined PnL
-$4.56
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$29.25
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$0.45
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$4.12
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 88.9¢ | $26.71 | $24.52 | -$0.49 | 62% 1585-980 (2565) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.8¢ | $1.78 | — | -$1.78 | 45% 744-919 (1663) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.68 | $4.73 | +$0.05 | 75% 563-190 (753) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 60% 971-647 (1618) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 18.4¢ | $2 | — | -$0.3 | 58% 1473-1061 (2534) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 65% 1384-737 (2121) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$26.71
Value
$24.52
PnL
-$0.49
Record
62%
1585-980 (2565)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.78
Value
—
PnL
-$1.78
Record
45%
744-919 (1663)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.68
Value
$4.73
PnL
+$0.05
Record
75%
563-190 (753)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
60%
971-647 (1618)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
58%
1473-1061 (2534)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
65%
1384-737 (2121)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9bea5ca1...9b5e67
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794385200