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Down
ohioismCTR<$100Down
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$12.09
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares35
Combined PnL-$12.19
Up1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.1
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 43¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 58% 1420-1016 (2436) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 48% 718-774 (1492) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 19¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 45% 712-884 (1596) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $22.65 | — | -$4.89 | 62% 1526-942 (2468) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 65% 1333-709 (2042) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
58%
1420-1016 (2436)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
48%
718-774 (1492)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
45%
712-884 (1596)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$22.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.89
Record
62%
1526-942 (2468)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
65%
1333-709 (2042)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6658d9cd...c5fc81
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794375900