Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 89%
$115.09
$27.69
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 89.7¢ | $51.6 | $57.5 | +$5.9 | 52% 662-606 (1268) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 45.5¢ | $9.06 | $19.91 | +$10.85 | 48% 802-884 (1686) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $6.2 | $10 | +$3.8 | 58% 993-717 (1710) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.7 | $5.22 | +$0.52 | 58% 690-506 (1196) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $4.29 | $4.77 | +$0.48 | 49% 532-558 (1090) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $5 | $7.69 | +$2.69 | 38% 395-633 (1028) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 74¢ | $3.7 | $5 | +$1.3 | 65% 993-525 (1518) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $3.5 | $5 | +$1.5 | 49% 523-535 (1058) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $4.1 | — | +$0.65 | 61% 1101-706 (1807) |
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$51.6
Value
$57.5
PnL
+$5.9
Record
52%
662-606 (1268)
Invested
$9.06
Value
$19.91
PnL
+$10.85
Record
48%
802-884 (1686)
Invested
$6.2
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.8
Record
58%
993-717 (1710)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5.22
PnL
+$0.52
Record
58%
690-506 (1196)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.29
Value
$4.77
PnL
+$0.48
Record
49%
532-558 (1090)
Invested
$5
Value
$7.69
PnL
+$2.69
Record
38%
395-633 (1028)
Invested
$3.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.3
Record
65%
993-525 (1518)
Invested
$3.5
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.5
Record
49%
523-535 (1058)
Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
+$0.65
Record
61%
1101-706 (1807)