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DownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownUpDownDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 86%
Total Value
$1
Combined PnL
-$23.84
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 7 top traders (86%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares659
Combined PnL-$23.9
Up1 trader
Total Value$1
Total Shares1
Combined PnL+$0.06
Down — 86%Up — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.1¢ | $6.03 | — | -$6.03 | 43% 273-368 (641) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $3.85 | — | -$2.07 | 61% 1022-653 (1675) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 1.6¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 53% 619-554 (1173) |
BO bosona<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $0.94 | $1 | +$0.06 | 50% 3513-3548 (7061) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $13.72 | — | -$13.72 | 48% 767-833 (1600) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 38% 363-587 (950) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 42.8¢ | $11.18 | — | -$1.08 | 57% 888-659 (1547) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$6.03
Value
—
PnL
-$6.03
Record
43%
273-368 (641)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
-$2.07
Record
61%
1022-653 (1675)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
53%
619-554 (1173)
BO
bosona<$100Invested
$0.94
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.06
Record
50%
3513-3548 (7061)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$13.72
Value
—
PnL
-$13.72
Record
48%
767-833 (1600)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
38%
363-587 (950)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$11.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
57%
888-659 (1547)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x15e58477...a07a7a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794317700