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Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
ohioismCTR<$100DownUpDown
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 83%
Total Value
$6.62
Combined PnL
-$22.38
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares87
Combined PnL-$21.78
Up1 trader
Total Value$6.62
Total Shares7
Combined PnL-$0.6
Down — 83%Up — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $13.23 | — | -$13.23 | 48% 733-802 (1535) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 13.2¢ | $3.3 | — | -$3.3 | 53% 584-522 (1106) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 48% 444-473 (917) |
BY ByteBadger92<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $9.22 | $6.62 | -$0.6 | 57% 822-611 (1433) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 44% 419-530 (949) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 15¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 44% 444-557 (1001) |
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$13.23
Value
—
PnL
-$13.23
Record
48%
733-802 (1535)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.3
Value
—
PnL
-$3.3
Record
53%
584-522 (1106)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
444-473 (917)
BY
ByteBadger92<$100Invested
$9.22
Value
$6.62
PnL
-$0.6
Record
57%
822-611 (1433)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
44%
419-530 (949)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
44%
444-557 (1001)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb1edb254...5b4b71
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794310500