Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 89%
$147.61
-$70.6
Smart Money Signal
8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $46.5 | $50 | +$3.5 | 38% 253-408 (661) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $46.5 | $50 | +$3.5 | 39% 256-397 (653) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $73.75 | — | -$73.75 | 49% 439-452 (891) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93.7¢ | $21.55 | $15 | -$6.55 | 53% 584-522 (1106) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $8.91 | $9.38 | +$0.47 | 56% 603-469 (1072) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $6.65 | $7 | +$0.35 | 44% 444-557 (1001) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $4.35 | $5.65 | +$1.3 | 61% 962-618 (1580) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $5.05 | $5.43 | +$0.38 | 50% 3491-3532 (7023) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $4.95 | $5.16 | +$0.21 | 65% 869-465 (1334) |
Invested
$46.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.5
Record
38%
253-408 (661)
Invested
$46.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$3.5
Record
39%
256-397 (653)
Invested
$73.75
Value
—
PnL
-$73.75
Record
49%
439-452 (891)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$21.55
Value
$15
PnL
-$6.55
Record
53%
584-522 (1106)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$9.38
PnL
+$0.47
Record
56%
603-469 (1072)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$6.65
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.35
Record
44%
444-557 (1001)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$5.65
PnL
+$1.3
Record
61%
962-618 (1580)
Invested
$5.05
Value
$5.43
PnL
+$0.38
Record
50%
3491-3532 (7023)
Invested
$4.95
Value
$5.16
PnL
+$0.21
Record
65%
869-465 (1334)