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Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDown
G-Penis-Monster<$100UpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 67%
Total Value
$9.57
Combined PnL
-$3.92
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$9.57
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$2.98
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares23
Combined PnL-$6.9
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 69.6¢ | $6.39 | $9.18 | +$2.79 | 61% 962-618 (1580) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 15.5¢ | $1.9 | — | -$1.9 | 53% 584-522 (1106) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.9 | — | -$4.9 | 57% 822-611 (1433) |
G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $0.2 | $0.39 | +$0.19 | 44% 444-557 (1001) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 48% 733-802 (1535) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$6.39
Value
$9.18
PnL
+$2.79
Record
61%
962-618 (1580)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
53%
584-522 (1106)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
—
PnL
-$4.9
Record
57%
822-611 (1433)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
$0.39
PnL
+$0.19
Record
44%
444-557 (1001)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
48%
733-802 (1535)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0c2c255a...a046d2
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794307800