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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 64%

Total Value

$65.93

Combined PnL

-$43.8

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$65.93

Total Shares66

Combined PnL-$1.96

Up7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares154

Combined PnL-$41.84

Down — 36%Up — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 99¢	$36.56	$36.93	+$0.37	79% 340-90 (430)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 98¢	$20.14	$19	-$1.14	65% 845-450 (1295)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 19.1¢	$13.25	—	-$13.25	49% 421-431 (852)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 12.1¢	$1.7	—	-$1.7	38% 344-554 (898)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 98¢	$5.88	$6	+$0.12	56% 592-457 (1049)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 24.8¢	$7.19	—	-$7.19	44% 429-541 (970)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 90¢	$5.31	$4	-$1.31	44% 403-515 (918)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 48.8¢	$15.33	—	-$10.28	61% 933-598 (1531)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	58% 794-586 (1380)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Upavg 45.4¢	$3.77	—	-$3.77	53% 570-504 (1074)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 11¢	$0.55	—	-$0.55	48% 428-460 (888)

Invested

$36.56

Value

$36.93

PnL

+$0.37

Record

79%

340-90 (430)

Invested

$20.14

Value

$19

PnL

-$1.14

Record

65%

845-450 (1295)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$13.25

Value

—

PnL

-$13.25

Record

49%

421-431 (852)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$1.7

Value

—

PnL

-$1.7

Record

38%

344-554 (898)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.88

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.12

Record

56%

592-457 (1049)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$7.19

Value

—

PnL

-$7.19

Record

44%

429-541 (970)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$5.31

Value

$4

PnL

-$1.31

Record

44%

403-515 (918)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$15.33

Value

—

PnL

-$10.28

Record

61%

933-598 (1531)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

58%

794-586 (1380)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$3.77

Value

—

PnL

-$3.77

Record

53%

570-504 (1074)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$0.55

Value

—

PnL

-$0.55

Record

48%

428-460 (888)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xc2e5132e...16dcc6

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794306600

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Down — $36.93

asdaefef

Down — $19

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

asidjasiodja

Down — $6

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $4

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $0

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

MayorMamdani

Up — $0

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