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Down
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$52.55
Combined PnL
$0.07
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$52.55
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$0.92
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5
Combined PnL-$0.85
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98.4¢ | $10.82 | $10.99 | +$0.18 | 98% 902-18 (920) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 96.5¢ | $18.78 | $19.45 | +$0.67 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84.4¢ | $14.3 | $14.11 | -$0.01 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 44% 403-515 (918) |
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$10.82
Value
$10.99
PnL
+$0.18
Record
98%
902-18 (920)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$18.78
Value
$19.45
PnL
+$0.67
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$14.3
Value
$14.11
PnL
-$0.01
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
44%
403-515 (918)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xffafa994...6b3f2a
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794305100