Back to Markets
Down
ohioismCTR<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100DownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
-$10.52
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares35
Combined PnL-$10.57
Up1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$0.05
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 47¢ | $8.2 | — | -$5.57 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 48% 428-460 (888) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.7 | — | -$1.7 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 56% 592-457 (1049) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$5.57
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
48%
428-460 (888)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.7
Value
—
PnL
-$1.7
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
56%
592-457 (1049)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xafe837d6...9a79b8
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794304500