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UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100DownDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Down
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$26.6
Combined PnL
-$12.89
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$26.6
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$5.29
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares39
Combined PnL-$7.6
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $27.13 | $16.09 | -$5.04 | 61% 933-598 (1531) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $10.76 | $10.51 | -$0.25 | 65% 845-450 (1295) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 19.5¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 44% 429-541 (970) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Downavg 29¢ | $2.9 | — | -$1.9 | 58% 794-586 (1380) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 16¢ | $0.95 | — | -$0.95 | 49% 421-431 (852) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $0.85 | — | -$0.85 | 53% 570-504 (1074) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$27.13
Value
$16.09
PnL
-$5.04
Record
61%
933-598 (1531)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$10.76
Value
$10.51
PnL
-$0.25
Record
65%
845-450 (1295)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
44%
429-541 (970)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$2.9
Value
—
PnL
-$1.9
Record
58%
794-586 (1380)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.95
Value
—
PnL
-$0.95
Record
49%
421-431 (852)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.85
Value
—
PnL
-$0.85
Record
53%
570-504 (1074)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x00fc2624...9b1f9c
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794304200