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Up
BoneOhio<$100DownDownUpDownDown
MayorMamdani<$100Down
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 71%
Total Value
$48.51
Combined PnL
$3.56
Smart Money Signal
Down
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares113
Combined PnL-$3.76
Down5 traders
Total Value$48.51
Total Shares49
Combined PnL+$7.32
Up — 29%Down — 71%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.5¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 41% 232-329 (561) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $21.68 | $21.9 | +$0.22 | 79% 328-89 (417) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $7.92 | $8 | +$0.08 | 98% 884-17 (901) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.21 | — | -$1.21 | 49% 409-418 (827) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $4.71 | $9.61 | +$4.9 | 48% 709-765 (1474) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 60¢ | $3 | $5 | +$2 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $3.88 | $4 | +$0.12 | 53% 551-490 (1041) |
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
41%
232-329 (561)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$21.68
Value
$21.9
PnL
+$0.22
Record
79%
328-89 (417)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
$8
PnL
+$0.08
Record
98%
884-17 (901)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$1.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.21
Record
49%
409-418 (827)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$4.71
Value
$9.61
PnL
+$4.9
Record
48%
709-765 (1474)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$3
Value
$5
PnL
+$2
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$3.88
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.12
Record
53%
551-490 (1041)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7460f1c5...3c45f1
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794302400