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DownUpDownDown
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100UpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$66.23
Combined PnL
$3.32
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$66.23
Total Shares66
Combined PnL+$32.33
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares71
Combined PnL-$29.01
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $9.3 | $23.25 | +$13.95 | 38% 335-541 (876) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.2¢ | $18.6 | — | -$18.6 | 49% 409-418 (827) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 58.8¢ | $12.75 | $18.79 | +$6.04 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $11.85 | $24.19 | +$12.34 | 48% 709-765 (1474) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 52¢ | $7.63 | — | -$7.63 | 53% 551-490 (1041) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.3¢ | $3.33 | — | -$3.33 | 44% 394-503 (897) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.6¢ | $7.4 | — | +$0.55 | 57% 763-564 (1327) |
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$9.3
Value
$23.25
PnL
+$13.95
Record
38%
335-541 (876)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$18.6
Value
—
PnL
-$18.6
Record
49%
409-418 (827)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$12.75
Value
$18.79
PnL
+$6.04
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$11.85
Value
$24.19
PnL
+$12.34
Record
48%
709-765 (1474)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.63
Value
—
PnL
-$7.63
Record
53%
551-490 (1041)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100Invested
$3.33
Value
—
PnL
-$3.33
Record
44%
394-503 (897)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$7.4
Value
—
PnL
+$0.55
Record
57%
763-564 (1327)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x08e516d5...64cfaf
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794301500