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DownDownDownUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$27.3
Combined PnL
-$2.05
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$27.3
Total Shares27
Combined PnL+$2.09
Up2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares15
Combined PnL-$4.14
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $17.53 | $17.05 | -$0.48 | 61% 903-581 (1484) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 52¢ | $2.73 | $5.25 | +$2.52 | 46% 230-265 (495) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.95 | $5 | +$0.05 | 98% 884-17 (901) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $3.52 | — | -$3.52 | 53% 579-512 (1091) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $6.46 | — | -$0.62 | 57% 763-564 (1327) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.53
Value
$17.05
PnL
-$0.48
Record
61%
903-581 (1484)
PB
PBot-5<$100Invested
$2.73
Value
$5.25
PnL
+$2.52
Record
46%
230-265 (495)
HO
hoodquant<$100Invested
$4.95
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
884-17 (901)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100Invested
$3.52
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
53%
579-512 (1091)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$6.46
Value
—
PnL
-$0.62
Record
57%
763-564 (1327)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ba8c1d4...c13c17
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794300600