Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

XRP Up or Down - November 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 67%

Total Value

$19

Combined PnL

-$15.81

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$19

Total Shares19

Combined PnL-$0.91

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares64

Combined PnL-$14.9

Up — 33%Down — 67%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$7.92	$8	+$0.08	64% 784-440 (1224)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 99¢	$5.94	$6	+$0.06	55% 552-445 (997)
38 38791873984189CTR<$100	Downavg 48¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	48% 695-751 (1446)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 23¢	$2.3	—	-$2.3	48% 400-433 (833)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 98¢	$6.05	$5	-$1.05	61% 877-568 (1445)
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100	Downavg 52¢	$5.2	—	-$3.19	58% 736-544 (1280)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 27¢	$1.35	—	-$1.35	49% 392-405 (797)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 25¢	$0.62	—	-$0.62	53% 535-482 (1017)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 7.7¢	$2.33	—	-$2.33	53% 564-506 (1070)

Invested

$7.92

Value

$8

PnL

+$0.08

Record

64%

784-440 (1224)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.06

Record

55%

552-445 (997)

38791873984189CTR<$100

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

48%

695-751 (1446)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.3

Value

—

PnL

-$2.3

Record

48%

400-433 (833)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6.05

Value

$5

PnL

-$1.05

Record

61%

877-568 (1445)

ByteBadger92CTR<$100

Invested

$5.2

Value

—

PnL

-$3.19

Record

58%

736-544 (1280)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

49%

392-405 (797)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$0.62

Value

—

PnL

-$0.62

Record

53%

535-482 (1017)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$2.33

Value

—

PnL

-$2.33

Record

53%

564-506 (1070)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x7a42a419...0b1cdd

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794298200

Traders in this Market

asdaefef

Up — $8

asidjasiodja

Up — $6

38791873984189

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $5

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket