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DownDown
BoneOhio<$100Down
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
ohioismCTR<$100UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$57.03
Combined PnL
-$8.45
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$57.03
Total Shares57
Combined PnL-$1.45
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares31
Combined PnL-$7
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92.6¢ | $23.35 | $25.23 | +$1.88 | 61% 849-543 (1392) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 84.3¢ | $25.54 | $22.11 | -$3.42 | 53% 540-483 (1023) |
BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.59 | $9.69 | +$0.1 | 78% 291-83 (374) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 52% 513-467 (980) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $4.1 | — | -$4.1 | 48% 390-417 (807) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $0.8 | — | -$0.8 | 57% 703-527 (1230) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 43% 384-502 (886) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$23.35
Value
$25.23
PnL
+$1.88
Record
61%
849-543 (1392)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$25.54
Value
$22.11
PnL
-$3.42
Record
53%
540-483 (1023)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$9.59
Value
$9.69
PnL
+$0.1
Record
78%
291-83 (374)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
52%
513-467 (980)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
—
PnL
-$4.1
Record
48%
390-417 (807)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$0.8
Value
—
PnL
-$0.8
Record
57%
703-527 (1230)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
43%
384-502 (886)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4c6c951d...820b32
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794292200