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DownDown
MayorMamdani<$100DownUpUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$43.2
Combined PnL
-$11.58
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$43.2
Total Shares43
Combined PnL-$9.85
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares40
Combined PnL-$1.74
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 97.4¢ | $29.01 | $20.2 | -$2.8 | 61% 849-543 (1392) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 75¢ | $24 | $18 | -$6 | 53% 540-483 (1023) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $6.05 | $5 | -$1.05 | 52% 513-467 (980) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR<$100 | Upavg 33.5¢ | $13.55 | — | -$0.15 | 57% 703-527 (1230) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 41% 216-314 (530) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 64% 762-429 (1191) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 49% 377-387 (764) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.01
Value
$20.2
PnL
-$2.8
Record
61%
849-543 (1392)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100Invested
$24
Value
$18
PnL
-$6
Record
53%
540-483 (1023)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$6.05
Value
$5
PnL
-$1.05
Record
52%
513-467 (980)
BY
ByteBadger92CTR<$100Invested
$13.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.15
Record
57%
703-527 (1230)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
41%
216-314 (530)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
64%
762-429 (1191)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
49%
377-387 (764)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xec671970...b5ca97
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794291900