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UpUp
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Down
ohioismCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$64.3
Combined PnL
-$3.32
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$64.3
Total Shares64
Combined PnL+$2.15
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$5.47
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 92¢ | $44.69 | $43.56 | +$2.97 | 65% 130560-70335 (200895) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 98.9¢ | $21.56 | $20.74 | -$0.82 | 66% 130888-67724 (198612) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 61% 46245-29424 (75669) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 63% 42586-25315 (67901) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 23.1¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 61% 98802-62745 (161547) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$44.69
Value
$43.56
PnL
+$2.97
Record
65%
130560-70335 (200895)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$21.56
Value
$20.74
PnL
-$0.82
Record
66%
130888-67724 (198612)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
61%
46245-29424 (75669)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
63%
42586-25315 (67901)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
61%
98802-62745 (161547)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x688f3340...a8f18d
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794057600