Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 63%
$47.57
-$50.69
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 67.8¢ | $29.19 | — | -$29.19 | 65% 130448-70263 (200711) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 63¢ | $17.98 | $28.56 | +$10.58 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.3¢ | $16.63 | — | -$16.63 | 65% 114692-61718 (176410) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 11.5¢ | $1.15 | $10 | +$8.85 | 58% 63404-46606 (110010) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 81.5¢ | $11.49 | — | -$11.49 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
 ohioism<$100 | Upavg 9.6¢ | $0.86 | $9.01 | +$8.15 | 63% 42522-25264 (67786) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.1¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 61% 98731-62694 (161425) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $18.5 | — | -$18.5 | 49% 10666-11322 (21988) |
Invested
$29.19
Value
—
PnL
-$29.19
Record
65%
130448-70263 (200711)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$17.98
Value
$28.56
PnL
+$10.58
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
Invested
$16.63
Value
—
PnL
-$16.63
Record
65%
114692-61718 (176410)
Invested
$1.15
Value
$10
PnL
+$8.85
Record
58%
63404-46606 (110010)
Invested
$11.49
Value
—
PnL
-$11.49
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
ohioism<$100Invested
$0.86
Value
$9.01
PnL
+$8.15
Record
63%
42522-25264 (67786)
Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
61%
98731-62694 (161425)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
—
PnL
-$18.5
Record
49%
10666-11322 (21988)