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UpDownUp
MayorMamdani<$100DownDownUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$54.68
Combined PnL
-$18.24
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares119
Combined PnL-$28.1
Down4 traders
Total Value$54.68
Total Shares55
Combined PnL+$9.86
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.2¢ | $19.6 | — | -$19.6 | 65% 130448-70263 (200711) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $10.2 | $12 | +$1.8 | 55% 52367-42838 (95205) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.7¢ | $6.4 | — | -$6.4 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $14.2 | $15 | +$0.8 | 55% 51661-42835 (94496) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 65.1¢ | $10.21 | $15.68 | +$5.47 | 65% 114692-61718 (176410) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.4¢ | $2.1 | — | -$2.1 | 61% 98731-62694 (161425) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $10.2 | $12 | +$1.8 | 55% 51720-42173 (93893) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$19.6
Value
—
PnL
-$19.6
Record
65%
130448-70263 (200711)
MO
mo-money<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.8
Record
55%
52367-42838 (95205)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$6.4
Value
—
PnL
-$6.4
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$14.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.8
Record
55%
51661-42835 (94496)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$10.21
Value
$15.68
PnL
+$5.47
Record
65%
114692-61718 (176410)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$2.1
Value
—
PnL
-$2.1
Record
61%
98731-62694 (161425)
BO
bosona<$100Invested
$10.2
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.8
Record
55%
51720-42173 (93893)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xabd7f720...703d62
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794037500