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DownDownDown
ohioismCTR<$100Up
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Up
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Up
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Down 50%
Total Value
$120.98
Combined PnL
$7.32
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$120.98
Total Shares121
Combined PnL+$19.78
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares42
Combined PnL-$12.47
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 92.4¢ | $42.14 | $45.61 | +$3.47 | 65% 130293-70158 (200451) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $39.33 | $33.5 | -$5.83 | 65% 114590-61630 (176220) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 47.1¢ | $19.73 | $41.88 | +$22.15 | 56% 77408-59804 (137212) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 29.4¢ | $2.94 | — | -$2.94 | 63% 42447-25170 (67617) |
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.7¢ | $4.07 | — | -$4.07 | 61% 46098-29272 (75370) |
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $5.46 | — | -$5.46 | 55% 51661-42834 (94495) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$42.14
Value
$45.61
PnL
+$3.47
Record
65%
130293-70158 (200451)
AN
antsaslyku<$100Invested
$39.33
Value
$33.5
PnL
-$5.83
Record
65%
114590-61630 (176220)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$19.73
Value
$41.88
PnL
+$22.15
Record
56%
77408-59804 (137212)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$2.94
Value
—
PnL
-$2.94
Record
63%
42447-25170 (67617)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.07
Value
—
PnL
-$4.07
Record
61%
46098-29272 (75370)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.46
Value
—
PnL
-$5.46
Record
55%
51661-42834 (94495)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb4d3fab9...ca6794
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1794015600