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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

XRP Up or Down - November 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$297.58

Combined PnL

$14.46

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$218.4

Total Shares218

Combined PnL+$35.07

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares31

Combined PnL-$20.61

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AN antsaslykuARB<$100	Downavg 44.2¢	$88.45	$79.18	-$9.27	65% 114575-61604 (176179)
└ Down leg	Downavg 44.2¢	$59.18	—	-$59.18
└ Up leg	Upavg 37¢	$29.27	$79.18	+$49.91
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Upavg 76.1¢	$118.06	$94.9	-$19.92	65% 130257-70136 (200393)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 99.1¢	$31.04	$31.34	+$0.3	74% 105071-37075 (142146)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 56.3¢	$31.62	$56.16	+$24.54	56% 77387-59788 (137175)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 7.6¢	$1.59	$21	+$19.41	58% 63285-46506 (109791)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 29.4¢	$2.94	$10	+$7.06	61% 46076-29253 (75329)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 50.7¢	$2.54	—	-$2.54	56% 60523-47081 (107604)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 26.3¢	$1.32	$5	+$3.68	63% 42429-25148 (67577)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100	Downavg 69.6¢	$18.07	—	-$18.07	55% 51660-42833 (94493)

antsaslykuARB<$100

Invested

$88.45

Value

$79.18

PnL

-$9.27

Record

65%

114575-61604 (176179)

Both legs:

Down$59.1844.2¢-$59.18

Up$29.2737¢+$49.91

Invested

$118.06

Value

$94.9

PnL

-$19.92

Record

65%

130257-70136 (200393)

Invested

$31.04

Value

$31.34

PnL

+$0.3

Record

74%

105071-37075 (142146)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$31.62

Value

$56.16

PnL

+$24.54

Record

56%

77387-59788 (137175)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$1.59

Value

$21

PnL

+$19.41

Record

58%

63285-46506 (109791)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$2.94

Value

$10

PnL

+$7.06

Record

61%

46076-29253 (75329)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$2.54

Value

—

PnL

-$2.54

Record

56%

60523-47081 (107604)

Invested

$1.32

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.68

Record

63%

42429-25148 (67577)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100

Invested

$18.07

Value

—

PnL

-$18.07

Record

55%

51660-42833 (94493)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4cb8c91f...14798b

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1794006300

Traders in this Market

antsaslyku

Arbitrage — excluded

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $94.9

BoneOhio

Up — $31.34

uninformedfloww

Up — $56.16

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $21

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $5

MayorMamdani

Down — $0

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