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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 63%

Total Value

$193.34

Combined PnL

$7.54

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$193.34

Total Shares193

Combined PnL+$13.92

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares67

Combined PnL-$6.38

Down — 75%Up — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 97.4¢	$87.65	$90	+$2.35	91% 27039-2535 (29574)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 91.9¢	$34.92	$37.99	+$3.07	48% 9898-10796 (20694)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 93.2¢	$25.57	$25.55	-$0.02	65% 128980-69167 (198147)
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 62.7¢	$12.53	$20	+$7.47	65% 113985-60904 (174889)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 94.7¢	$18.75	$19.8	+$1.05	55% 50800-42194 (92994)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 10.8¢	$4.1	—	-$4.1	56% 59817-46404 (106221)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 8.5¢	$1.34	—	-$1.34	66% 129504-66806 (196310)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 7.3¢	$0.94	—	-$0.94	67% 101590-49946 (151536)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 94¢	—	—	+$0	55% 51272-41620 (92892)
MO mo-money<$100	Downavg 95¢	—	—	+$0	55% 51905-42354 (94259)
AL almach<$100	Downavg 94¢	—	—	+$0	55% 49814-41356 (91170)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 81.6¢	—	—	+$0	57% 76666-58994 (135660)

Invested

$87.65

Value

$90

PnL

+$2.35

Record

91%

27039-2535 (29574)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$34.92

Value

$37.99

PnL

+$3.07

Record

48%

9898-10796 (20694)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$25.57

Value

$25.55

PnL

-$0.02

Record

65%

128980-69167 (198147)

antsaslyku<$100

Invested

$12.53

Value

$20

PnL

+$7.47

Record

65%

113985-60904 (174889)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$18.75

Value

$19.8

PnL

+$1.05

Record

55%

50800-42194 (92994)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

56%

59817-46404 (106221)

asdaefefCTR<$100

Invested

$1.34

Value

—

PnL

-$1.34

Record

66%

129504-66806 (196310)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$0.94

Value

—

PnL

-$0.94

Record

67%

101590-49946 (151536)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

51272-41620 (92892)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

51905-42354 (94259)

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

55%

49814-41356 (91170)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

57%

76666-58994 (135660)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 12 top traders (75%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xe9bfdabb...c4877d

Slug

xrp-updown-5m-1793837100

Traders in this Market

hoodquant

Down — $90

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $37.99

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $25.55

antsaslyku

Down — $20

MayorMamdani

Down — $19.8

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

asdaefef

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

bosona

Down — $0

mo-money

Down — $0

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