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DownDownUpUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$28
Combined PnL
-$2.31
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$28
Total Shares28
Combined PnL+$0.43
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$2.74
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $10.28 | $9 | -$1.28 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $17.29 | $19 | +$1.71 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.33 | — | -$1.33 | 61% 96050-60547 (156597) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 91321-85769 (177090) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.21 | — | -$0.21 | 59% 62677-43754 (106431) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$10.28
Value
$9
PnL
-$1.28
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.29
Value
$19
PnL
+$1.71
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.33
Value
—
PnL
-$1.33
Record
61%
96050-60547 (156597)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
91321-85769 (177090)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.21
Value
—
PnL
-$0.21
Record
59%
62677-43754 (106431)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2281c42a...479f44
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793562300