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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100UpUpUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$35.2
Combined PnL
$0.95
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down2 traders
Total Value$35.2
Total Shares35
Combined PnL+$2.95
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares20
Combined PnL-$2
Down — 40%Up — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98.7¢ | $29.7 | $30.1 | +$0.4 | 65% 125977-67395 (193372) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.6 | — | -$0.6 | 63% 52248-31272 (83520) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 52% 90943-85477 (176420) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 66% 126616-65192 (191808) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | $5.1 | +$2.55 | 58% 51216-37341 (88557) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30.1
PnL
+$0.4
Record
65%
125977-67395 (193372)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.6
Value
—
PnL
-$0.6
Record
63%
52248-31272 (83520)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
52%
90943-85477 (176420)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
66%
126616-65192 (191808)
PB
PBot-6<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
$5.1
PnL
+$2.55
Record
58%
51216-37341 (88557)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc009c17a...cde962
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793488200