Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 60%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$100.1

Combined PnL

$2.91

Down

3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$33.51

Total Shares34

Combined PnL+$6.51

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares10

Combined PnL-$3.6

Down — 60%Up — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100	Downavg 79¢	$79.79	$66.59	-$13.2	57% 71395-54409 (125804)
└ Down leg	Downavg 79¢	$52.59	$66.59	+$14
└ Up leg	Upavg 55.6¢	$27.2	—	-$27.2
AN antsaslyku<$100	Downavg 66.6¢	$11.67	$17.51	+$5.84	66% 112373-59102 (171475)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 98¢	$7.53	$6	-$1.53	52% 90943-85477 (176420)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 78¢	$7.8	$10	+$2.2	65% 125977-67395 (193372)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 36¢	$2.16	—	-$2.16	61% 95475-60241 (155716)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 36¢	$1.44	—	-$1.44	66% 126616-65192 (191808)