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UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpDownDownUpDownDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 67%
Total Value
$10
Combined PnL
$2.15
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$10
Total Shares10
Combined PnL+$5.9
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares47
Combined PnL-$3.75
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $4.1 | $10 | +$5.9 | 63% 52258-31335 (83593) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 2.8¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 90979-85505 (176484) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $2.55 | — | -$2.55 | 58% 51244-37362 (88606) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 126019-67412 (193431) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71448-54444 (125892) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112380-59138 (171518) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | — | — | +$0 | 58% 60876-44457 (105333) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.1
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.9
Record
63%
52258-31335 (83593)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
90979-85505 (176484)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$2.55
Value
—
PnL
-$2.55
Record
58%
51244-37362 (88606)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
126019-67412 (193431)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71448-54444 (125892)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112380-59138 (171518)
0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
60876-44457 (105333)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x76f1dc68...795127
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793485200