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DownDownDownUpDown
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$69.74
Combined PnL
$6.49
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$69.74
Total Shares70
Combined PnL+$6.59
Up1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$0.1
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $12.51 | $11 | -$1.51 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $30.25 | $37.69 | +$7.44 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $10.89 | $11.05 | +$0.16 | 61% 95474-60238 (155712) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $9.5 | $10 | +$0.5 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
$12.51
Value
$11
PnL
-$1.51
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$30.25
Value
$37.69
PnL
+$7.44
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$10.89
Value
$11.05
PnL
+$0.16
Record
61%
95474-60238 (155712)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$9.5
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.5
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2542fdb5...263c62
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793480400