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Down
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 80%
Total Value
$16.4
Combined PnL
-$92.07
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 5 top traders (80%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares149
Combined PnL-$106.22
Up1 trader
Total Value$16.4
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$14.15
Down — 80%Up — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $86.08 | — | -$86.08 | 57% 71318-54356 (125674) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.8¢ | $3.58 | — | -$3.58 | 63% 52223-31187 (83410) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.2¢ | $9.36 | — | -$9.36 | 66% 112359-59057 (171416) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 54.5¢ | $17.1 | $16.4 | +$14.15 | 65% 125844-67348 (193192) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $7.2 | — | -$7.2 | 66% 126538-65157 (191695) |
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$86.08
Value
—
PnL
-$86.08
Record
57%
71318-54356 (125674)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.58
Value
—
PnL
-$3.58
Record
63%
52223-31187 (83410)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
$9.36
Value
—
PnL
-$9.36
Record
66%
112359-59057 (171416)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$17.1
Value
$16.4
PnL
+$14.15
Record
65%
125844-67348 (193192)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$7.2
Record
66%
126538-65157 (191695)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x7ccaf75e...4589b3
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793475000