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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDownUpUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 100%
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
-$6.44
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 6 top traders (50%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares29
Combined PnL-$6.44
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Down — 50%Up — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.2¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 63% 52240-31232 (83472) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 51¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 58% 51198-37322 (88520) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | — | — | +$0 | 65% 125846-67348 (193194) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 79.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 71362-54385 (125747) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 17.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 112365-59078 (171443) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 86¢ | — | — | +$0 | 66% 126575-65169 (191744) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
63%
52240-31232 (83472)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
58%
51198-37322 (88520)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
65%
125846-67348 (193194)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
71362-54385 (125747)
AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
112365-59078 (171443)
AS
asdaefef<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
66%
126575-65169 (191744)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf7c97859...778e53
Slug
xrp-updown-5m-1793472300